Kathmandu, 28 October: UML has already announced that the UML will bag the majority and form the next government under K.P. Sharma Oli’s leadership. However, the five-party ruling alliance is claiming that it will bag the majority and give continuity to the present alliance government, it is unable to announce the name of the next PM. The alliance partners are saying that they are focusing on the good election result and the issue of the next PM is yet to be decided. If the ruling five-party alliance will get good results, NC and Maoist Center will emerge as strong parties. Therefore, if the ruling alliance will bag a majority, supreme leaders from the two parties are the potential candidates for the next PM. Leaders from the Maoist Center are claiming that Sher Bahadur Deuba has led the election government. Therefore, the next alliance government should be led by Pushpakamal Dahal Prachanda. It is believed that there could be a silent agreement between Deuba and Prachanda for sharing the PM’s post turn by turn (two and a half years each), however, for the time being, both leaders have not disclosed the agreement. Both the leaders have even agreed upon sharing the post of the President, VP, speaker, deputy speaker and provincial chief ministers. Deuba’s position in the party:  A faction in the party is trying to find an alternative to PM Deuba, however, he is strong in the party and also in the upcoming parliamentarian party, his position will remain strong viewing the present trend of distribution of the election tickets. Therefore, Deuba is the candidate for the PM from the NC in the post-election government. Prachanda’s position: There is no leader to challenge Prachanda in his party Maoist Center. Therefore, Prachanda is the only candidate from the party to become the PM in the post-election government. Viewing the present scenario, either Deuba or Prachanda could be the next PM if the five-party alliance will bag the majority. It is thus believed that the two leaders have already agreed to run the government turn by turn but who to lead the government for the first term, has not been disclosed. If Deuba will lead the government for the first term the Maoist Party will get the chance to choose the posts of the President or VP or speaker or deputy speaker and province chiefs. Baburam Bhattarai and Agni Sapkota, senior leaders in the Maoist Center have not contested the election. They will obviously get some important assignments. Maybe Baburam Bhattarai has sacrificed his candidature and secured victory from Gorkha 2 with the assurance of becoming the President. Presently, Prachanda is publicly saying that those who have not got the election ticket will get the opportunity in appointments in the constitutional bodies and ambassadorial positions. Foreign interests: Always, there has been seen south’s interests in the formation of the government in Nepal. Whatsoever the agreement between Deuba and Prachanda, without the blessing from Delhi, it is difficult to become the PM in Nepal. Dr Arzu’s adjustment: Dr Arzu Deuba is an ambitious lady. She is trying to get a leadership position in the party and is also ambitious to become the PM. Her name is included in the proportional candidate’s list. However, it is said that she can be adjusted as the foreign minister for the first term and later be promoted to the post of PM. It is said that to pave the way for Arzu, Milendra Rijal and Swarnim Wagle didn’t get the election tickets. Possibility of the Left government:  Be that as it may, the next parliament will be dominated by Deuba, Prachanda and Oli. The present five-party alliance is aimed at cornering the UML. None of the parties in the alliance can face the UML alone. Therefore, an unethical and principle-less alliance has been developed among the five parties which follow different ideologies, more importantly, an alliance of the capitalist and communists. The only agenda of the five-party alliance is to defeat the UML and downsize KP Oli; forming an alliance government and continue loot on the government coffer. Transfer of vote is a major challenge for the five parties in the alliance. If the NC voters deny transferring their vote to the communist candidates, the election result can be unexpected. NC needs a little number of votes for the victory of its candidates but other small communist party candidates need a large number of votes for their victory. Therefore, the NC candidates are more comfortable. The election result could be in favour of the NC. If NC will bag votes close to a majority, it may form a government with the support of other small parties and independent candidates by bypassing the Maoist. The other option for the NC can be the formation of the NC-UML-led government by bypassing Maoists if Deuba tries to betray Prachanda. Meanwhile, the formation of the left government again cannot be ignored. Of late, China is also active in Nepali politics. Earlier, China had played a role in the unification and formation of the communist government. If China will play for an alliance of the left parties, again, there is a possibility of the formation of the UML-MC government. Oli and Prachanda are self-centric and can initiate any move in their personal interests. However, these all possibilities will depend on the 20 November election result. People’s News Monitoring Service